Who Goes to Europe?

One of the more interesting developments in Premier League football over the past few years has been the increased fluidity involving the (admittedly still relatively small) pack of teams chasing the glories of European competition.

Few would contest the notion that this year's title race has essentially narrowed into a stand off between last year's champions Manchester City and a resurgent Chelsea under the renewed guidance of The Special One, the enigmatic but quite brilliant Jose Mourinho.

Behind those two things are not quite so clear cut. Under Louis Van Gaal the once dominant Manchester United would seem to have reasserted their status as automatic contenders following last season's debacle, in which relegation had at times looked a more likely prospect than Champions League football, without really troubling the two front runners very much.

And yet with just sixteen matches left to play United are not even in third place. That honour goes to unfancied Southampton, who despite having lost the best part of their team after last season would appear to have gone from impressive under the talented Mauricio Pochettino to rampant under the tutelage of Dutch legend Ronald Koeman. Southampton are where they are on merit, and have begun to believe that Champions League football next year really is within their grasp.

So where does that leave perennial competitors Arsenal, who have represented English football in Europe's premier tournament for the last seventeen years without absence? The bottom line is that Arsenal need to invoke all their experience and undoubted ability to challenge either United or Southampton for one of the four Premier League placings. They did their cause no harm at all today, of course, by comprehensively demolishing champions Manchester City 2-0 on their own turf at the Etihad.

FIREPOWER

Although Southampton so dearly deserve their place in the sun, my gut feeling is that Arsenal will edge into third place as the season nears its end. That will leave United and Southampton battling it out for fourth place, and with the amount of firepower they have at their disposal United should just limp across the line in spite of their dodgy defence, leaving Southampton having to settle for a place in the Europa League (the good news being that on their current form that is a tournament they could quite feasibly win).

Below the top five lurk some of the usual, as well as some not so usual suspects. Tottenham would appear to have maintained their status as the best of the rest whilst Liverpool, who a few games back were floundering badly, seem to be on their way back. This year's surprise package up in the top half of the table is West Ham United, currently seventh in the Premier League and going great guns. Below them is the aforementioned Liverpool, and thereafter a big fat drop to ninth place and also-ran obscurity.

My prediction in the final analysis would be 1. Chelsea, 2. Manchester City, 3. Arsenal, 4. Manchester United, 5. Southampton, 6. Tottenham. The only road into Europe for anybody else will be via the F.A. Cup. Interesting times.